ClosedServicesEuropeanRestricted

KEM-09 Study on the cumulative propagation effect of Groningen risk model component uncertainties on hazard and risk predictions

Staatstoezicht op de Mijnen · Restricted · 1 lots · 157556
Type
Services
73000000
Estimated value
Not published
To deadline
Ongoing
Knock-outs
n/a
exclusion grounds
Award basis
Best price-quality ratio
Assess manuallyconfidence low

This tender concerns a study into the cumulative propagation of uncertainties in the components of the Groningen risk model and their impact on risk and hazard predictions. The Staatstoezicht op de Mijnen (SSM) intends to identify parties capable of performing this analysis through a non-public procedure. The assignment requires in-depth knowledge of geological modelling, statistical uncertainty analysis, and the specific risk and safety aspects of the Groningen gas fields. The work to be performed includes mapping model components, quantifying their individual and combined uncertainties, simulating the propagation of these uncertainties to the final risk and hazard figures, and drafting a technical report with recommendations. The contracting authority expects a structured methodology, clear deliverables, and a presentation of the findings to the SSM. The study plays a crucial role in improving the reliability of safety measures surrounding the Groningen gas fields.

Services · Restricted · European procedure

European
Contracting authority
Contract type
Services
Restricted
Estimated value
Estimate not published
Submission deadline
Ongoing
10:00
Scope
European
European procedure
Lots
1
1 lots
Main CPV code
Location
Den Haag
CharacteristicsCPV 73ServicesEU tenderGroningenrisk modeluncertainty analysis

01What is being requested

This tender concerns a study into the cumulative propagation of uncertainties in the components of the Groningen risk model and their impact on risk and hazard predictions. The Staatstoezicht op de Mijnen (SSM) intends to identify parties capable of performing this analysis through a non-public procedure. The assignment requires in-depth knowledge of geological modelling, statistical uncertainty analysis, and the specific risk and safety aspects of the Groningen gas fields. The work to be performed includes mapping model components, quantifying their individual and combined uncertainties, simulating the propagation of these uncertainties to the final risk and hazard figures, and drafting a technical report with recommendations. The contracting authority expects a structured methodology, clear deliverables, and a presentation of the findings to the SSM. The study plays a crucial role in improving the reliability of safety measures surrounding the Groningen gas fields.

The Procurement Office of the Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate Policy (MEA) is publishing this notification on behalf of the State Supervision of Mines (SSM). The purpose of this notification is to determine whether there are parties interested to perform this assessment. See attached document for further information.

73000000Services
1Lot 1

02Exclusion grounds

Exclusion grounds — consult the ESPD
  • No specific exclusion grounds were extracted. In a European tender, the mandatory and discretionary grounds of art. 2.86/2.87 of the Dutch Procurement Act almost always apply — check the European Single Procurement Document (ESPD).

03Value in context

Estimate not published

The contracting authority did not publish an estimated value — common for a large share of contracts. The EU threshold for diensten is € 221.000, for reference.

04Likely competitors

#Likely bidderFitWins
1Haskoning Nederland B.V.SME76
2Witteveen+Bos Raadgevende ingenieurs B.V.SME7511×
3I&O Research B.V.SME7410×
4Arcadis Nederland B.V.SME72
5Sweco Nederland B.V. SME71
6SEO Economisch OnderzoekUnknown6810×

05Tender documents

TN212384 - SF01 Vooraankondiging 20190201104849pdfFeb 1, 2019 · 16 KB
notification_KEM_09_defpdfFeb 1, 2019 · 335 KB

06Legal themes that may be relevant here

07Frequently asked questions

What is the purpose of the KEM-09 study?
The study focuses on the effect of the cumulative propagation of uncertainties in the components of the Groningen risk model on hazard and risk predictions.
What does the assignment for the Staatstoezicht op de Mijnen (SSM) entail?
The contracting authority wants to determine if there are parties interested in performing an assessment regarding the impact of model component uncertainties on risk predictions in the Groningen gas fields.
What work is expected during the execution of this study?
The work includes mapping model components, quantifying individual and combined uncertainties, simulating the propagation to risk and hazard figures, and drafting a technical report with recommendations.

Automatically compiled from the official tender data and documents.

08Estimated value versus the market

p25
€ 165K
median
€ 413K
p75
€ 1,0 mln
deze opdracht

Gegunde waarden in CPV 73 · diensten n=468